NFL Betting Tips
Published: | Updated:The Super Bowl is here!
At long last, the NFL playoffs are down to their final two teams. The Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs both entered the playoffs as their conferences’ number one overall seed. They will now meet in the Super Bowl in two weeks’ time. This game has a lot of fun matchups in it.
You’ve got the first-ever matchup between brothers in Super Bowl history. TE Travis Kelce is representing Kansas City, and center Jason Kelce is representing Philadelphia. Chiefs HC Andy Reid is gunning for his second Super Bowl title against the team he coached from 1999-2012. Two of the brightest young quarterback stars, Patrick Mahomes, and Jalen Hurts, will be facing off. And to top it all off, it’s the first EVER Super Bowl matchup between two Black starting quarterbacks.
Before I delve into Super Bowl history and commentary, I’d like to take a moment to reflect on my predictions. I went 1-3 last week, only my third “losing” week since beginning these betting tips in Week 9. I’ve gone a combined 111-69-2 this season. Is there a chance that my record would have been better if not for injuries to 49ers QBs Brock Purdy? Sure, but you better be prepared for anything to happen once the game begins.
As always, I appreciate those who have followed along with my tips and pointers this season. Hoping to end the NFL postseason on a high note and looking forward to the Super Bowl and beyond! #OnlineGamblersFamily
What is the Super Bowl?
The Super Bowl, in U.S. professional American football, is the championship game of the National Football League (NFL), played in a head-to-head matchup between the winners of the American Football Conference (AFC) and the National Football Conference (NFC). This game is hosted in a different city each year and is traditionally played in February.
The origins of the game are from an agreed-upon merger of the NFL and its rival, the “lesser” American Football League (AFL), in 1966. The agreement called for an end-of-season championship game, though it was widely believed the NFL’s teams were superior and would dominate this annual championship series. The first two Super Bowls reflected that, with the Green Bay Packers scoring dominant victories over the Kansas City Chiefs (35-10) and the Oakland Raiders (33-14). The first AFL victory came in the 1968-1969 NFL season, where the New York Jets of the AFL triumphed in a colossal upset over the heavily favored Baltimore Colts of the NFL (16-7).
What is Super Bowl Sunday?
The day of the Super Bowl game is colloquially known as Super Bowl Sunday. It’s become somewhat of an unofficial American holiday, with viewing parties held in homes, bars, and restaurants across the country. The week prior to the game is a showcase of extensive media building and an almost festival-party-like atmosphere in the hosting city.
The game itself features elaborate pregame, halftime, and postgame celebrations. Commercial content during the game is among the most expensive commercials of the year. A 30-second commercial spot in the Super Bowl broadcast may cost upwards of $5 million USD.
As a result of broad media publicity, the game itself is always a sellout, with Super Bowls routinely being the most watched and highest-rated sporting event of the calendar year in the United States.
What’s the difference between a Super Bowl game and a regular season game?
Besides the raised stakes, there are several small differences between the Super Bowl and other NFL games in-season. As mentioned above, the Super Bowl is played at a host site rather than at the stadium of one of the teams playing in it, barring unique situations. There is a home and away team for the game, which is alternate year after year. Being home or away truthfully only impacts the type of jersey that either team can wear. Other differences include broadcast style, as the game is typically longer, features lengthier commercial breaks, and a more elaborate halftime show.
Why are Super Bowl commercials so popular?
As mentioned above, Super Bowls draw the most attention and highest ratings of any American sporting event of the year. As a result, companies pay larger than average sums of money to have their ads run during the Super Bowl broadcast. The commercials have become almost as big a source of interest (from an entertainment perspective) as the game itself. For casual viewers or non-fans of the sport, you can enjoy the best commercial content of the year.
Super Bowl commercials often feature highly engaging content, comedic skits, or overly dramatized storytelling of the products being pitched or sold to a consumer audience. Sites like Yahoo or Buzzfeed will often release rankings of the best commercials immediately after the game has concluded, so there is a notable interest in creating the most interesting commercial for the broadcast. Commercials also typically include the best movie trailers for the upcoming year, allowing those movies to gain early buzz during a highly watched game.
What is the halftime show?
The Super Bowl halftime show is typically a half-hour long, more than double the standard length of halftime (10-13 minutes) of a typical NFL game. The show itself typically features a live performance from a notable musical artist. It’s as elaborate as a concert you might find at a non-sporting event, with past artists like Michael Jackson, Prince, Madonna, Beyonce, and the Weeknd headlining the event.
Predictions for the Super Bowl:
Make no mistake. It’s difficult for someone with a rooting interest in the NFL to have a guaranteed Super Bowl win. But Donna Kelce, mother of Travis and Jason, might have unlocked the pathway to that feeling. With two sons playing in the big game and on opposite sides, she’s guaranteed to be able to celebrate with at least one of them after the Super Bowl concludes. And luckily, each son already has at least one Super Bowl win, so there won’t necessarily be bragging rights beyond the H2H matchup.
The Chiefs, led by the otherworldly Patrick Mahomes, don’t have a particularly notable defense or the most diverse offensive attack. They do employ Mahomes, however, and that gives them a chance against anybody. He’s 10-3 in the postseason in his career, and his ability to extend plays and turn chicken shit into a chicken salad is something to keep an eye on. Chiefs DT Chris Jones has a chance to be an X-factor in this game as well – putting pressure on Jalen Hurts and limiting the Eagles’ run game will be vital to the Chiefs’ success on defense.
The Eagles feature a more diverse attack with one of the best top-to-bottom rosters in the NFL. Their seed in the NFC (#1) reflects as much as they just blasted the 49ers and Giants en route to the Super Bowl. With an offensive attack led by Hurts, wide receivers AJ Brown and Devonta Smith, running back Miles Sanders, and tight end Dallas Goedert, they are just so deep and well-rounded. And lest we forget, their defense racked up an incredible 70 regular season sacks. That represents the third most of any team of all time.
If you’re asking me for my gut reaction, it’s to bet on Patrick Mahomes. He’s done some amazing things this season and continued that all-around brilliance in the postseason. Most of which he has accomplished while playing with a high ankle sprain.
If you’re asking for my actual advice? I’m betting on the Eagles. A versatile offense, a disruptive defense, and an air of invincibility that emanates from the locker room to the fan base.
With our final tips of the year, I’ll take the Eagles -1.5 on FanDuel. I’ll also bet the under (U49.5) in a matchup I hope is worth the wait.
If you’re interested in some other bets…
- I like Devonta Smith as the Super Bowl MVP at +2400. He’s got a chance to be dominant through the air, as the Chiefs should focus more on stopping AJ Brown. Could Smith cap an incredible three-year run where he wins the Heisman, Offensive MVP of the College National Championship game, and then a Super Bowl MVP?
- Travis Kelce is at +650 for First Touchdown Scorer. The big man is the best tight end in the game, and it’s not close. If I’m betting on anyone for this market, it’s Kelce.
- Jalen Hurts at +600 to score 2+ touchdowns is a solid bet. His ability to score rushing touchdowns at the goal line as a runner is underrated.
Bet on NFL Responsibly
All bettors need to be over 21 years old in a state where legal betting is allowed. Before placing any bets, I encourage our readers to explore the responsible gambling tools available on each site. Plan your betting budget, and don’t play for more than you can afford on entertainment. Setting a betting, session, or loss limit should be done in a preventative matter. If you feel that your betting is getting out of control, don’t hesitate to chat with or call the National Problem Gambling Helpline. The helpline is available for free 24/7. You can also educate yourself on Responsible Gambling here.
There are a couple of ways to bet on NFL games. The most popular ways to bet on National Football League, is point spread, totals (aka over/under), and the moneyline.
Every week you can check sport betting tips written by Jake Moszkowski here, on OnlineGamblers.com. He is an expert in NFL and other sports.
A moneyline is a bet type that only includes Odds to win. Moneyline of +150, is just +150 odds ($100 to win $150) for the listed team to win. A moneyline of -150 is just -150 odds ($150 to win $100) for the listed team to win.
At the beginning of the week, Jake Moszkowski posts his predictions for the current week’s games. This includes speculations about players’ performance, game outcomes, and additional comments. After reading his articles you should be more aware of the possible wins and losses in NFL.
Online sports betting is on the rise and more and more states are opening up for this type of entertainment. New York, New Jersey, West Virginia, Pennsylvania, and Illinois State already have a number of licensed online sportsbooks accepting wagers on NFL games fully legally.
When you bet over/under, you don’t care about who wins – you only care about the number of points scored in the game.
You can browse draft odds by selection number, round specials, draft position, team picks, and more. All you have to do is find the best betting opportunities and place your bet online.
The NFL’s gambling policy strictly prohibits NFL Personnel from betting on “any NFL game, practice or another event,” in any capacity, which includes bets on “game outcome, statistics, score, the performance of any individual participant, or any other kind of ‘proposition bet’ on which wagering is offered.”
From the same format we use in point spreads, a minus sign indicates a favorite, with the plus sign indicating an underdog.
You can buy these shifts at Fanatics.com.
Las Vegas will host its first Super Bowl in 2024. Allegiant Stadium, the new home of Raiders, opened in 2020.
Chris Stapleton
